Investment Research report

Forescout Technologies Inc.

NASDAQ:
fsct
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Forescout Technologies Inc.
Foresight Into A Bad Deal
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Research Overview

INDEX:
S&P 500
Sector:
Technology
Position:
Short
Date:
May 13, 2020

After conducting a forensic financial and accounting review, Spruce Point believes Forescout Technologies Inc.’s (Nasdaq: FSCT), a cybersecurity company, announced purchase by Advent International for $33/share in a $1.8bn deal has been ascribed too high a probability that it is a done deal. Based on our investigation, we estimate 35% to 50% downside risk, or $17-$22 regardless of whether the deal is renegotiated or annulled completely.

The report highlights several key concerns with the company, including:

  • We believe that the deal with Advent International has a high risk of being amended or terminated 
  • Evidence shows that Forescout’s complete financial outlook may not have been shared with prospective buyers
  • Background on a busted dinosaur IPO leading to greater pressures remarketing debt capital in a highly discriminating environment
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